Posts Tagged ‘Economics’

Oily McWar is Now Officially 100% Shameless

By: JimLarkinsGhost
Published: September 17th, 2008

In his bafflingly persistent effort to portray the American economy as fundamentally strong, Oily McWar has further underscored how shameless and sleazy his campaign has become.  He now tells us that anyone who talks about economic realities is just hatin’ on American workers.  From the NYT editorial page:

John McCain spent Monday claiming as he had countless times before — that the economy was fundamentally sound. Had he missed the collapse of Lehman Brothers or the sale of Merrill Lynch, which were announced the day before? Did he not notice the agonies of the American International Group? Was he unaware of the impending layoffs of tens of thousands of Wall Street employees on top of the growing numbers of unemployed workers throughout the United States?

On Tuesday, he clarified his remarks. The clarification was far more worrisome than his initial comments.

He said that by calling the economy fundamentally sound, what he really meant was that American workers are the best in the world. In the best Karl Rovian fashion, he implied that if you dispute his statement about the economy’s firm foundation, you are, in effect, insulting American workers. “I believe in American workers, and someone who disagrees with that — it’s fine,” he told NBC’s Matt Lauer [italics added].

This is all such a sad commentary on American political culture;  candidates continue to treat voters like children, and voters continue to reward them for it.  Let’s hope that by November, the McCain-Palin nonsense will have finally gone so far that people will actually notice.   That way, he can go back to grimacing in the senate, and she can go back to hunting and praying for natural gas pipelines.

The Wonk Room

Published: August 26th, 2008

A must-read article on Obamanomics.

Recession, Economic Disease, and a Smart French Dude

By: JimLarkinsGhost
Published: June 10th, 2008

An indisputable outcome of the economics of the post-Friedman/Thatcher/Reagan era has been inequality - profound and rapidly growing inequality. In the name of economic growth and neo-liberal orthodoxy, the welfare state has been under threat, labor union membership has plummeted, and deregulation, low inflation, and low taxation have become quasi-religious principles.

Yet in American, and to a lesser extent British political and economic discourse, the answers to the problems of inequality and stratification ring hollow. The dominant underlying assumption has been that we need more of what got us here in the first place - more “free” trade, more deregulation of financial markets, ever lower taxes on capital gains and on the income of the wealthy, and a weaker public sector.

As a result, politicians in Britain and America never address the serious implications of the gradual transformation of capitalism from a commodity production system into a financial market shell-game.

The problem, then, is at least twofold: first, no serious solutions to the problems of inequality created by our current and recent economic policies are on the table. And second, those very policies have enabled the system of finance-dominated capitalism that has both created, and will continue to exacerbate current and looming economic crises.

In short, the economies of Britain and the United states are deeply unhealthy.

Jerome a Paris at the European Tribune offers an insightful and important analysis of what ails us. Jerome has coined the term “Anglo Disease” to describe the problem. His analysis is convincing, and his predictions have been on target. As this selection illustrates, the current economic crises are rooted in the very nature of contemporary financial capitalism and the inequality, phony globalization, and culture of debt that it has created:

Thus the financial world imposes its unrelenting focus on profits and shareholder value on all economic activities; the domination of “return on capital” criteria ensures that many activities outside finance are in decline, as they struggle to reach the required returns on potential investments. Financial analysis sees labor as a cost, reducing profits, and pushes for its reduction, either via outsourcing, offshorisation or wage stagnation. Similarly, government regulations are seen as restrictions on profit to be fought and eliminated, as, naturally, taxes.

To boost domestic demand in the face of flat incomes, debt has been pushed on households as the way to keep on increasing their spending, to the further benefit of the industry that provides the loans. The combination of expansionist monetary policies in the West and mercantilist policies in China has made it possible to find the holy grail of no inflation and rapid asset price increases, thus generating massive (and increasingly less taxed) corporate profits. The reality was, of course, that of huge global imbalances and a massive bubble, but for the longest time it looked like perfect growth, further validating the policies that underpinned it.

The model of financial capitalism is thus all-encompassing, not only grabbing an increasing share of the economic pie, but also dominating all political and economic discourse.

The reality, unfortunately, is that a massive inequality, declining or stagnant living standards for the majority, which spend more than they earn, and, as a consequence, a massive bill pushed out into the future. Well, that future is now, and the imbalances will only be unwound if incomes match spending, which can happen via lower spending or via higher incomes.

In the financial capitalism model, incomes are a cost and should not increase; if that logic prevails - if the Anglo Disease is not cured from our body politic - spending will crash and a recession is not only inevitable but likely to be very painful, as the real economy slows down brutally, and the financial bets that ride it suddenly look highly unreasonable, and turn into losses (as is happening already in the subprime sector).

Jerome’s Anglo Disease theory deserves, and almost certainly will not receive, much wider public discussion. It runs counter to current economic orthodoxy, it challenges the prerogatives of some of the most powerful interests in the west, and it smacks of “Old Europe” social-democratic thinking.

I think we could use a little social-democratic thinking right now.

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